价格分化与投资回报率——以北京房产市场为例的实证研究

Price Dispersion and Return on Investment—An Empirical Study of the Real Estate Market in Beijing

  • 摘要: 本文运用2008—2017年北京市二手房交易数据,研究了小区层面的资产投资回报异质性和价格分化现象。结果显示,房产投资回报率体现出显著的异质性,揭示了中国房产市场有持续的价格分化现象。本文也发现房价分布具有肥尾特征,并测算了相应的帕累托指数。在去杠杆稳步推进、房产税可能出台等宏观经济背景下,本文的实证研究结果具有重要的政策意义。

     

    Abstract: This paper study the heterogeneous returns on investment and the price dispersion in the real estate market, using the pre-owned house transaction data in Beijing from 2008 to 2017. Results show that the returns to real estate investment have significant heterogeneity, and reveal that China’s real estate market has price dispersion. We also find that the distribution of house prices has a fat tail, and calculate the Pareto index. These results have important policy implications in the background of deleveraging and possible implementation of real estate taxes.

     

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