基于IWOA-LSSVM的锂离子电池RUL预测

Remaining Useful Life Prediction for Lithium-ion Batteries Based on IWOA-LSSVM

  • 摘要: 锂离子电池剩余使用寿命(Remaining useful life,RUL)的准确预测对于提高电池循环使用寿命,避免安全事故的发生,起着至关重要的作用。为此,提出了一种结合改进鲸鱼优化算法(Improved whale optimization algorithm,IWOA)和最小二乘支持向量机(Least squares support vector machine,LSSVM)的锂离子电池RUL预测模型。首先从充放电电压、电流、温度及容量增量(Incremental capacity,IC)数据中分析并构建表征锂离子电池容量衰减的特征参数,利用Spearman和Pearson分析法分析所构建的特征参数与容量间的相关性,分析并筛选出表征容量衰减的两个关键特征参数;其次基于所建立的关键特征参数提出了一种IWOA优化LSSVM的预测模型,其中通过引入正弦函数搜索路径以及自适应权重方法解决了WOA易陷入局部最优解的问题,提高了模型预测精度;最后利用美国航空航天局(National Aeronautics and Space Administration,NASA)所提供的公开锂离子电池数据集对所建模型进行验证,同时与SVM和WOA-LSSVM模型预测结果进行对比分析。结果表明,当前80次循环数据作为训练集时,所提出的IWOA-LSSVM模型中平均绝对误差(Mean absolute error,MAE)在0.011 A·h以内,均方根误差(Root mean squared error,RMSE)值在0.013 A·h以内,所提模型估计误差更小,具有更高的预测精度。

     

    Abstract: Accurate prediction of the remaining useful life(RUL) of lithium-ion batteries plays a vital role in improving battery cycle life and avoiding safety accidents. A lithium-ion battery RUL prediction model that combines the improved whale optimization algorithm(IWOA) and the least squares support vector machine(LSSVM) is proposed. Firstly, the characteristic parameters characterizing the capacity degradation of lithium-ion batteries were analyzed and constructed from the charge and discharge voltage, current, temperature and incremental capacity(IC) data, Spearman and Pearson analysis methods are used to analyze the correlation between the characteristic parameters and capacity. Based on the correlation, two key characteristic parameters characterizing the capacity degradation are analyzed and screened out. Secondly, based on the established key characteristic parameters, a prediction model for IWOA optimized LSSVM is proposed. By introducing the sinusoidal function search path and the adaptive weight method, the problem of WOA easily falling into the local optimal solution is solved, and the model prediction accuracy is improved. Finally, the proposed model is verified using the public lithium-ion battery data set provided by National Aeronautics and Space Administration(NASA), and the prediction results of the SVM and WOA-LSSVM models are compared and analyzed. The results show that when the first 80 cycles of data are used as the training set, the mean absolute error(MAE) of the proposed IWOA-LSSVM model is within 0.011 A·h, and the root mean squared error(RMSE) value is within 0.013 A·h. The estimation error of the proposed model is smaller and has higher prediction accuracy.

     

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