电动汽车充放电负荷时-空分布预测研究综述

Review of Research on Time-space Distribution Prediction of Charging and Discharging Load for Electric Vehicles

  • 摘要: 电动汽车(Electric vehicles,EV)的普及带来了大量具有时空不确定性的充放电负荷,对电网的稳定运行造成影响,精准预测EV充放电负荷的时空分布是实现负荷平衡调度的基础。为此,梳理了电动汽车充放电负荷时空分布预测的研究。首先,从路径因素、充电因素和其他不确定因素等方面,对EV充放电负荷分布的影响因素进行机理分析,并比较不同类型EV的影响因素差异;其次,按照建模方式的不同,对EV充放电负荷的时、空分布预测进行系统分类与分析;最后,说明现有方法的不足与未来的可能研究方向。

     

    Abstract: A large quantity of charge/discharge loads with spatio-temporal uncertainty increase based on the promotion of electric vehicles(EVs), which affects the safety and stability of power system. The accurate spatio-temporal distribution prediction of EV charge and discharge loads is the basis for load balancing and dispatching in power system. Therefore, the researches on the spatio-temporal distribution prediction of EV charging and discharging loads in recent years are reviewed. The mechanism of the key factors of EV charging and discharging loads distribution are analyzed firstly. Three aspects are considered, which are path factors, charging factors and other uncertainties. Besides, the factors’ difference of various types of EV is compared. Secondly, the previous methods with regard to modeling of spatiotemporal EV charging and discharging are classified and systematically summarized. Finally, the shortcomings of the existing researches are revealed, and research gaps are identified for further exploration.

     

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