基于SVMD-WGAN-BiLSTM的IGBT剩余使用寿命预测

IGBT Remaining Useful Life Prediction Based on SVMD-WGAN-BiLSTM

  • 摘要: 针对绝缘栅双极型晶体管(Insulated gate bipolar transistors,IGBT)现有的寿命预测方法泛化能力不足,预测精度较低的问题,提出了一种基于逐次变分模态分解(Successive variational mode decomposition,SVMD)和Wasserstein对抗生成神经网络(Wasserstein generative adversarial network,WGAN)进行模型优化的双向长短期记忆网络(Bidirectional long short-term memory,BiLSTM)预测模型。首先使用SVMD对原始序列进行分解,得到多个固有模态分量和残差分量,根据皮尔逊相关系数选取相关性高的分量叠加得到降噪后的新序列,通过WGAN神经网络进行数据增强,最终将新构建的序列输入双向LSTM神经网络进行剩余寿命预测,并通过NASA的IGBT加速老化试验数据进行了验证。结果表明,该模型的平均绝对误差为0.707%,均方根误差为0.013 2,拟合度为0.974,对比BiLSTM、SVMD-BiLSTM、GRU和CNN算法,预测精度均有提高,具有良好的泛化性能,可为IGBT的剩余寿命预测提供重要参考。

     

    Abstract: A novel approach is proposed to address the issues of insufficient generalization capability and low prediction accuracy in existing lifetime prediction methods for insulated gate bipolar transistors(IGBT). A bidirectional long short-term memory(BiLSTM) model with successive variational mode decomposition(SVMD) and a Wasserstein distance-based adversarial generative neural network(WGAN) are integrated in the approach. Firstly, the original sequence is decomposed using SVMD to obtain multiple intrinsic mode components and residual components. Subsequently, components with high Pearson correlation coefficients are selected and superimposed to construct a denoised new sequence. This new sequence is then subjected to data augmentation via the WGAN, a robust adversarial network leveraging the Wasserstein distance for stability and quality of generated samples. Finally, the newly constructed sequences are ultimately input into a bidirectional LSTM neural network for remaining useful life prediction and are validated using NASA's IGBT accelerated aging test data. The results indicate that the model achieves an average absolute error of 0.707%, a mean squared error of 0.013 2, and a fitness degree of 0.974. Compared with BiLSTM, SVMD-BiLSTM, GRU, and CNN algorithms, the prediction accuracy of the SVMD-WGAN-BiLSTM model has improved significantly, demonstrating excellent generalization performance and providing a valuable reference for IGBT remaining useful life prediction.

     

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