计及用户需求响应贡献度的综合能源系统多时间尺度优化

Multi-time-scale Optimization of Integrated Energy System Considering the Contribution of User Demand Response

  • 摘要: 为降低预测误差对机组出力情况的影响和充分调动用户参与需求响应的积极性,提出一种计及用户需求响应贡献度的综合能源系统多时间尺度优化模型。首先,建立基于改进的/完全自适应噪声集合经验模态分解-Circle改进灰狼优化算法-BP神经网络-差分整合移动平均自回归模型(Improved complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise-circle-grey wolf optimizer-back propagation-autoregressive integrated moving average model,ICEEMDAN-CGWO-BP-ARIMA)的精准预测模型,生成多时间尺度场景以解决负荷和风光出力的不确定性。其次,引入需求响应贡献度的概念,并制定多时间尺度响应策略。其中,在日前阶段,以系统的运行成本和弃风弃光惩罚最小为调度目标;在日内阶段,以15 min为时间尺度修正日前调度计划;在实时阶段,以5 min为时间尺度修正日内调度计划。最后,通过Yamlip对所提算例进行模型搭建,并使用Gurobi优化器对模型进行求解,分析验证所提模型对系统减少成本和提升其运行稳定性的积极作用。

     

    Abstract: In order to reduce the impact of prediction error on unit output and fully mobilize the enthusiasm of users to participate in demand response, a multi-time scale optimization model of integrated energy system considering the contribution of user demand response is proposed. Firstly, an improved complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise-circle-grey wolf optimizer-back model based on the improved/fully adaptive acoustic ensemble empirical mode decomposition-circle algorithm is established propagation-autoregressive integrated moving average model(ICEEMDAN-CGWO-BP-ARIMA) to generate multi-time scale scenarios to address the uncertainty of load and wind output. Secondly, the concept of demand response contribution is introduced, and a multi-time scale response strategy is formulated, in which the operating cost of the system and the minimum penalty for curtailment of wind and solar power are taken as the scheduling goals in the pre-day stage. In the intra-day phase, the day-ahead scheduling plan is revised with a time scale of 15 minutes. In the real-time phase, the intraday scheduling plan is revised with a time scale of 5 minutes. Finally, Yamlip is used to build a model for the proposed example, and the Gurobi optimizer is used to solve the model, which analyzes and verifies the positive effect of the proposed model on reducing the cost and improving the operation stability of the system.

     

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