基于改进PSO-LSTM模型的变压器绕组热点温度预测研究

Research on Transformer Winding Hot Spot Temperature Prediction Based on Improved PSO-LSTM Model

  • 摘要: 针对变压器绕组热点温度预测过程诊断结果准确度不理想的问题,提出一种改进长短期记忆神经网络粒子群算法(Particle swarm optimization-long short-term memory,PSO-LSTM),用于优化神经网络训练参数。首先,对PSO-LSTM算法的粒子初始搜索范围进行修改,以提高算法收敛精度及稳定性;之后把变压器绕组热点温度数据作为输入,通过改进的PSO-LSTM算法训练温度预测神经网络;最后,将改进PSO-LSTM神经网络输出结果与传统LSTM神经网络、PSO-LSTM神经网络输出结果进行对比分析,结果表明改进的PSO-LSTM算法提高了变压器绕组热点温度预测的精度和训练过程的稳定性。

     

    Abstract: To address the issue of unsatisfactory diagnostic accuracy in the process of predicting the hot spot temperature of transformer windings, an improved particle swarm optimization-long short-term memory(PSO-LSTM) algorithm is proposed to optimize neural network training parameters. Firstly, the initial search range of particles in the PSO-LSTM algorithm is modified to improve the convergence accuracy and stability of the algorithm. Afterwards, the transformer winding hot spot temperature data is used as input, and the temperature prediction neural network is trained using an improved PSO-LSTM algorithm. Finally, the output results of the improved PSO-LSTM neural network are compared and analyzed with those of traditional LSTM neural networks and PSO-LSTM neural networks. The results showed that the improved PSO-LSTM algorithm improved the accuracy of transformer winding hot spot temperature prediction.

     

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