基于马尔科夫模型和合作博弈的多区域综合能源系统储能容量配置

Markov Model and Game of Cooperation-based Storage Capacity Configuration for Multi-integrated Energy Systems

  • 摘要: 在双碳目标下,分布式电源广泛接入的配电侧园区综合能源系统合理规划配置分布式储能,实现了储能共享,促进了新能源高消纳,提高了系统稳定性。首先,考虑园区新能源出力的不确定性,将其转化为马尔科夫状态,建立基于马尔科夫模型的储能容量配置随机规划模型。其次,考虑园区间合作进行电能交易会降低自身运行成本,以各园区最小投资运行成本、最小碳排放惩罚成本、最小弃光惩罚成本以及园区间最小交易成本为目标,建立基于纳什议价的互联多区域综合能源系统储能容量优化配置的多目标模型;然后将非凸非线性化模型转化为两个子问题,并采用交替方向乘子法和CONOPT求解器进行求解。最后通过算例分析不同模式和方案下的决策结果,验证所提模型能够合理配置储能容量,并有效减少各园区成本以及碳排放量和弃光量。

     

    Abstract: With the dual carbon goal, reasonable planning and configuration of the distributed energy storage among integrated energy parks to realize energy storage sharing would promote high consumption of renewable energy and improve system stability. Firstly, considering the uncertainty of renewable energy output in parks represented by the Markov states, a stochastic programming model of energy storage capacity configuration based on Markov model is established. Secondly, considering the energy trade between parks to reduce their own operating costs, a multi-objective model of energy storage capacity optimization configuration in interconnected multi-parks based on Nash bargaining is established with the objectives of minimum investment operating cost, minimum carbon emission penalty cost, minimum light abandonment penalty cost, and minimum inter-area trading cost in each park. Then, the nonconvex nonlinearization model is transformed into two subproblems and solved by alternating direction multiplier method and CONOPT solver. Finally, by analyzing the decision results under different modes and schemes, it is verified that the proposed model could rationally allocate the energy storage capacity and effectively reduce the cost, carbon emission and photovoltaic curtailment.

     

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