基于多头注意力机制和TCN-BiLSTM的IGBT剩余寿命预测方法

Application of Time Series Model of TCN-BiLSTM Based on Multi-head Attention Mechanism for IGBT Remaining Life Prediction

  • 摘要: 针对电力电子设备精准运维和半导体功率器件的态势感知需求,提出一种基于多头注意力机制(Multi-head attention mechanism,MA)和时域卷积网络(Temporal convolutional network,TCN)-双向长短时记忆(Bidirectional long short-term memory,BiLSTM)网络融合的IGBT剩余寿命预测方法。首先,基于IGBT封装模块老化机理的深入分析,设计并搭建加速老化试验平台,通过控制功率循环过程中的结温波动,施加电流加速IGBT模块的老化进程,采用高精度数据采集系统获取特征参量集-射极饱和压降Vce (sat)老化数据。其次,以TCN模型为基础,引入MA和BiLSTM神经网络构建预测模型,对IGBT劣化特征序列进行预测验证。结果表明,在相同条件下,所提模型相对于传统时序预测模型,在不显著增加模型复杂度和计算负担的情况下,具有更高的精度,充分验证了该模型在工程实践中应用于IGBT剩余寿命在线预测的可行性与高效性。

     

    Abstract: To address the needs of precise maintenance of power electronic devices and situational awareness of semiconductor power devices, A method for predicting the remaining life of IGBTs based on the fusion of multi-head attention mechanismand TCN-BiLSTM is proposed. Firstly, based on an in-depth analysis of the aging mechanism of IGBT packaging modules, an accelerated aging experimental platform is designed and built. By controlling the junction temperature fluctuations during the power cycling process and applying current to accelerate the aging process of the IGBT module, high-precision data acquisition systems are used to obtain the feature parameter set — the aging data of the collector-emitter saturation voltage Vce(sat). Secondly, based on the TCN model, the multi-head attention mechanism and BiLSTM neural network are introduced to build the prediction model for predicting and verifying the degradation feature sequence of IGBTs. The results show that under the same conditions, compared with traditional time-series prediction models, the proposed model has higher accuracy without significantly increasing the model complexity and computational burden, which fully verifies the feasibility and efficiency of applying the model to online prediction of IGBT remaining life in engineering practice.

     

/

返回文章
返回